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MarketFN.com Weekend Newsletter
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Weekend Newsletter for May 10, 2008          Please forward to a friend! (Subscribe)

The Week At A Glance According To The Charts
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Do Traders
Really Die
Broke?

      

  • Do Traders Really Die Broke? -- by Bill Kraft
    Copyright 2008, Makin' Hay, Inc., All Rights Reserved
    Bill Kraft
    Bill Kraft
    Editor

    Last week, in response to my invitation to submit market sayings, one anonymous commentator who identified himself as one who had spent 16 years on the floor of the NYSE suggested a saying he attributed to folks who worked there. The saying is: "Traders die broke." Of course, I've heard the saying before as well as its companion: "Traders drive Fords, investors drive Cadillacs." Since I am a trader, and since I have a book out entitled "Trade Your Way to Wealth," the saying is of definite interest.

    Incidentally, I DO have a Ford (along with 4 other vehicles and 5 homes) so I am speculating on how it will come about that I will die broke because I am a trader. First, I should note that trading does involve risk and the trader who trades as a gambler is, I agree, quite likely to die broke. Trading, however, can be done with limited, measured, or, at times, even no risk depending upon the strategy utilized. Since I have long been concerned with people who trade with little or no awareness to the real risks they are undertaking, I wrote "Trade Your Way to Wealth: Earn Big Profits with No Risk, Low Risk, and Measured Risk Strategies." I also write these Newsletter articles with the hope that readers will incorporate things like business plans, money management, exit strategies, and risk awareness and control into their own investing and trading.

    In general, it is probably fair to say that the lower the risk, the lower the potential reward. A trader who uses no risk or very low risk collars, for example, may not make as much as fast as someone who chooses a very high risk strategy like simply buying a stock with no exit for example. However, the high risk trader stands a greater risk of dying broke than the risk aware or risk controlled trader. A trader can take wild swings hoping to hit the home run (that seems to be what most do) or he can use an approach with a lesser measured risk and attempt to generate wealth in a safer manner. Personally, I chose the latter. Success comes in trading the market much like the way one would eat an elephant, one bite at a time. The wild swinging trader may, indeed, hit the home run, but in my experience coaching and speaking with traders, it is the wild swinger who is most likely to go broke. Even if they do connect for the home run, they seem to take yet another wild swing with the proceeds of the first success and let it go down the drain.

    It is important to understand who we are listening to. When someone who worked the floor of the NYSE (assuming not as a janitor) says "traders die broke," who is this person? Is it the broker who recommended you hold Enron to the bitter end? Is it the person who was urging you to continue to buy tech stocks coming into the 2000 crash, or is it one of the brilliant minds at one of the big firms that recently have had to write off billions of dollars because of the stupidity of their investments in the sub-prime markets?

    When did the saying arise? Was it at a time when a trader had no chance to make a buck on a spread because commissions were so outrageous, or was it in more recent times when commissions were much more manageable? After all, it would be awfully difficult making any money writing covered calls if you had to pay a $200 commission on a single contract. Today, it can be done with a $5, $10, or $15 commission, giving the trader at least a better chance.

    Finally, I do agree that traders may die broke if they trade like gamblers, do not discipline their trades or do not know how to discipline them; if they fail to incorporate principles of sound money management, or fail to enter positions with an exit strategy. On the other hand, I believe traders who apply discipline, money and risk management, and don't constantly swing for the fences do have a decent chance of doing well provided they expend the effort to educate themselves -- at least as a trader who has done those things successfully so far, I hope so.

    You can comment on this article on my blog!

    Good Trading!

    Bill Kraft
    Editor of $10 Trader, Option Trader and Trend Trader

    "Trade Your Way to Wealth" by Bill Kraft is an Amazon.com best seller!

    Mr. Kraft's past articles are posted on our website for your review.


  • $10 TRADER -- by Bill Kraft

    We really enjoy trading stocks that are $10 and under. Often they provide the chance to enjoy high percentage gains and, of course, at worst, the risk is limited to what we paid for the stock.

    Chart by StockCharts.com
    Please turn on your ability to receive graphics. We are providing you with a detailed chart of this stock. If you are unable to turn on graphics, please CLICK HERE.


    AFN (Alesco Financial Inc.)
    Company Profile
    After waiting patiently and looking for good entries in the cheaper stocks, $10 Trader reaped the rewards of a 40% gain before the small commission in just over one month on AFN! Patience can, indeed, have its rewards as exemplified by the AFN trade.



    Try our $10 Trader Real-Time Alert Service!
    Details Here.


  • OPTION TRADER -- by Bill Kraft

    Our Option Trading Service is for conservative traders that understand leverage principles. We focus on powerful option trading strategies that place volatility and momentum in your favor. And we pride ourselves on minimizing our losses. We always know our downside potential in a trade.

    Chart by StockCharts.com
    Please turn on your ability to receive graphics. We are providing you with a detailed chart of this stock. If you are unable to turn on graphics, please CLICK HERE.


    EXM (Excel Maritime Carriers, Ltd.)
    Company Profile
    With EXM unable to break resistance so far, I am looking at the June 50/55 bearish call spread that currently has an approximate potential 25% return on risk as long as the stock remains below $50 until expiration June 20th.


    Try our Option Trader Real-Time Alert Service!
    Achieve returns with us like 16.48% return in 5 days!
    Details Here.



  • TREND TRADER -- by Bill Kraft

    Trend trading as we try to practice it is a form of momentum trading. We prefer to try to capture profit out of the middle of the trend rather than try to catch reversal at bottoms and tops.

    Chart by StockCharts.com
    Please turn on your ability to receive graphics. We are providing you with a detailed chart of this stock. If you are unable to turn on graphics, please CLICK HERE.


    AIN (Albany International Corp.)
    Company Profile
    The normally unexciting textile sector has shown recent strength. One of the stocks in that sector, AIN, looks as though it may be ready to make a double bottom. While it has not yet completed that formation, it is on my radar to see whether it will be a play next week.



    Try our Trend Trader Real-Time Alert Service!
    Details Here.


    Trade Your Way To Wealth by Bill Kraft
    Trading is a path to financial independence, personal freedom, and wealth. But the path is immensely challenging and only a few emerge victorious. Bill Kraft's book Trade Your Way to Wealth, an Amazon.com "best seller", shows you the path.


  • SUCCESS TRADING GROUP -- by Eric Aafedt

    52 Wins in 52 Weeks

    Our Success Trading service delivers quality trading ideas for the elite investor that has the financial wherewithal and market nimbleness to profit on small moves in a stock's price. Become a member and you will be provided with email and/or PDA alerts intended to provide you with the opportunity to make many, many profitable trades.

    Chart by StockCharts.com
    Please turn on your ability to receive graphics. We are providing you with a detailed chart of this stock. If you are unable to turn on graphics, please CLICK HERE.


    RSH (RadioShack Corp.)
    Company Profile
    Our Success Trading Group members recently opened a position in RadioShack (Ticker: RSH). We like RSH at current levels for new positions.


    Our Success Trading Group has closed 52 Wins in 52 Weeks and over 340 winning trades and only 9 losing trades on our Main Trade Table.
    Details Here.


  • DIVIDEND INVESTOR -- by Eric Aafedt

    Perfect for your IRA! Our Dividend Investor service focuses solely on the "best of the best" dividend paying stocks. Many of the stocks that we will be buying in our Dividend Investor service raise their dividends almost every year. Year after year! This is powerful. We buy these stocks for their powerful dividend producing income; and we will also buy these with a purpose to make capital gains as the stock increases in value.

    Feel free to sign-up for a free 30-day trial. During such time you can review our Trade Table and see the type of stocks we are buying. You will also receive all the new investing alerts we send during your trial period. Again, many of the stocks that we will be buying in our Dividend Investor service raise their dividends almost every year. Year after year! This is powerful. Don't miss out on this service!

    While we titled this service an "investor" service, we also believe these stocks are solid for the "trader" in you. With these stocks, we believe an exit point of 3% above the buy price is generally appropriate for traders. And, in fact, our first 46 positions have hit our 3% target subsequent to the buy alert!
    Details Here.



  • COVERED CALL SERVICE -- by the Covered Call Research Team

    Chart by StockCharts.com
    Please turn on your ability to receive graphics. We are providing you with a detailed chart of this stock. If you are unable to turn on graphics, please CLICK HERE or on the *Read Our Weekend Report Online* link above.


    CSH - Cash America Intl. Inc. is currently trading at $40.50. The June $40 Calls (CSHFH) are trading at $3.30. That provides a return of about 8% if CSH is above $40 on expiration Friday in June.
    Company Profile


    Learn more about our
    8 Covered Call Tables!
    Updated after every close.
    Details Here.



  • Success Trading Group Trade the same stocks over and over. 340 trades with only 9 losses on our Main Trade Table!

    Trend Trader "The Trend Is Your Friend". Utilize trends and momentum in your stock trading!

    Option Trader Use the power and leverage inherent in option trading to your advantage!

    $10 Trader Focusing on stocks under $10 per share!

    Dividend Investor Perfect for your IRA! Quality dividend paying stocks!

    Covered Calls Conservative option writing -- Allowed in your IRA!



    The foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinions of Online Investment Services, LP. or the associated editor. This information is not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. Past results do not guarantee future performance. Stock investing is risky. Option trading is risky. Futures trading entails great risk where one can lose more than his account balance. We are not licensed or registered in the securities or futures industries. The information presented herein and on the related web sites is presented "as is" without warranty of any kind either express or implied. Although the information has been obtained or derived from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolios of writers for this issue may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on the related web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors. No one associated herewith receives compensation in any manner from any of the companies that are discussed in this newsletter or on the related websites. By accepting emails, including various paid subscriptions and free email reports and newsletters, you agree to the terms of the MarketFN.com's website Disclaimer, Privacy Policy and Terms of Use provisions as such may be amended from time to time.
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